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EU-Turkey: A complicated relationshipby Johannes SWOBODA Group of the Party of European Socialists, Vice-Chairman European Parliament, Member Committee on Foreign Affairs, Human Rights, Common Security and Defence Policy, Member Delegation to the EU-Turkey Joint Parliamentary Committee, Substitute     The relationship between the European Union and Turkey was complicated all the past centuries and will continue to remain a challenge at least in the next decades. Turkey is an European country but it stretches into Asia and the Middle East at the same time. It has a predominant Muslim population but also shows a Christian-Orthodox heritage and welcomed many Jewish refugees. Many Turkish migrants already live and work in the European Union and thus are creating wealth and income for these countries. There are many connections and interchanges between Turkey and the European Union.    World War I and Kemal Attatürk brought a reorientation from the East towards the West, especially Europe. But the enforcement of many European standards and habits was accompanied by strong nationalism and this is still noticeable today. Only recently with the constitutional reforms prepared by the government of Prime Minister Erdogan and decided by the Great National Assembly some flexibility was introduced into Turkey's political system. This concerns in particular the human rights position and the role of Kurdish political and cultural ambitions. But there is still a long way to go to implement the  laws including the constitution. The implementation of laws is a different thing, as it needs more strength and time than decision- making in governments and parliaments.    Furthermore, as long as the Cyprus question is not solved a decisive problem remains open and creates tensions in the EU-Turkey relationship. But it is not only Turkey, which has not done its homework completely, but also the European Union. The failure of the EU to agree on a European Constitution is an important setback, not only for the EU15 respective for the EU25 from May 1st onwards. It decreases also the capacity of the EU to enlarge further without diluting the Union. Instead of strengthening the Union, also via enlargement, further steps of extension would weaken the Union in its internal and external policies. Already the present enlargement was not very popular in many countries of the EU15. But steps towards the borders of geographical Europe could create further division if not well prepared.     To underline this again, neither the geographical, cultural, religious argument often brought forward, nor the conflicts Turkey still has with some of its neighbours are principal arguments against Turkey's accession. But in the past years both sides were not able to prepare themselves adequately for closing the gap still preventing Turkey's membership.But there is space enough to come closer, to find common interests and aims, which could bring together not only the elite but also a broader range of the civil societies.    Both sides must see the common interest and that a membership would strengthen not only Turkey's position but also the capacities and international influence of the European Union. At present many Europeans see mainly the differences and difficulties when asked about the future membership of Turkey. The political, economic, and cultural elite of the European Union and Turkey must work more intensively on the common project of having Turkey in the Union.     Especially in connection with the decision at the end of 2004 about a date for the start of negotiations everyone must be careful and refrain from threats. It is in the interest of both that relations do not deteriorate but continue to have the common aim in the centre of all political activities. Any decision at the end of 2004 by the European Council does neither bring immediate membership, or the end of an urgently needed good co-operation between the EU and Turkey. So, the relationship will stay complicated and delicate and it needs responsible politicians to handle these relationships in a constructive and forward-looking way.MAIN CONTRIBUTIONS OF TURKEY'S MEMBERSHIP TO THE EU Bahadır Kaleağası TUSIAD Turkish Industry & Business AssociationRepresentative to the EU and UNICE Brussels    Turkey's membership to the European Union may be a long and gradualist perspective. This is a process whose aim is to solve today's problems and to set, if still necessary, transitional periods for some aspects of the membership. Today, the challenge for both the EU and Turkey is to start, as soon as possible, the accession negotiations and to assure their progress on the basis of the common European values, principles, and interests.1. ECONOMY :  Turkey will greatly contribute to the EU's economic power on the global scene. With a population of 69 million, a GDP level of 445 billion euros (PPP), an export oriented economy and rapidly developing information society, Turkey's accession will increase the size and competitiveness of the European internal market. 2. GROWTH :  Growth in Turkey will have a positive effect on the EU economy. Turkey's young, dynamic and entrepreneurial population and economy are large enough to generate growth both in Turkey and in an enlarged EU. 3. CONSUMERS :  Turkey's large economy and potentials will be beneficial to European consumers. Elimination of technical and non-technical barriers to trade and adoption by Turkey of the EU legislation and standards are increasing the competitiveness and the product quality in an enlarged Union. 4. BUSINESS :   In addition to the existing customs union in industrial goods, liberalisation of services and public procurement markets will provide invaluable opportunities for European companies. With a services sector constituting 65% of its GDP and a public procurement market of over 30 billion euros, Turkey offers high potentials for European companies in development projects. 5. INVESTMENT :  After accession, European companies will benefit from higher rates of return on their foreign direct investment in Turkey. Given the country's qualified labour force, high absorption capacity, tourism potentials and its location at the crossroads of Eurasian markets and energy networks, EU membership will boost the economy by attracting even more investments. 6. GLOBAL POLITICS :  Turkey's membership will be an invaluable asset for the EU in its global aspirations. Turkey's geographical position, relations with the neighbouring countries and connection to the Islamic world, Russia and the Central Asia will endow the EU with greater saying in the international arena.7.MULTICULTURALISM :  Turkey's membership will strengthen the EU's multicultural society. It will be a solid confirmation refuting 'clash of civilisations' scenario and proving the essence of the EU, namely a union built upon and through common values. 8. STABILITY :  Improvements in the Greco-Turkish relations resulting from Turkey's membership will provide further stability in the Aegean region and the Balkans. Greater stability and cooperation in the region have countless potentials for trade, energy, transport and environment projects. 9. PEACE :  Turkey's membership will promote and defend common European interests. As an EU member, Turkey will contribute further to democracy, peace and stability, as well as economic development, in the Mediterranean region, Balkans, Caucasus and Middle East. 10. SECURITY :  As a reliable NATO ally, Turkey's membership will consolidate both the military and the civilian aspects of the Common Foreign and Security Policy. A European Union including Turkey will be more efficient in tackling political problems and crises among which threats from undemocratic regimes, terrorism, illegal immigration and trafficking in drugs, arms, human beings…